PHOTO USA In the present day Sports activities Photos Week 2 of the NFL season kicks off Thursday with a showdown of a pair of rivals that could possibly be battling for the AFC East crown come December.
The Buffalo Payments and Miami Dolphins might have began the 12 months 1-0, however each groups wanted to dig out of early double-digit holes final Sunday (regardless of being residence favorites!) to make it occur.
Earlier than you hearth up Prime Video for “Thursday Night time Soccer,” listed below are three betting picks we like probably the most for Buffalo-Miami:
Buffalo stampede
The Payments are 11-1 in opposition to the Dolphins since Dec. 30, 2018, with 10 regular-season victories and a wild-card spherical win two postseasons in the past. These numbers are paying homage to one other rivalry on this division, the New England Patriots’ full dominance of the New York Jets.
“That’s gonna be the narrative, that we will’t beat the Payments,” Tua Tagovailoa mentioned this week, “and till we do beat them and we beat them constantly, none of that’s gonna change.”
Miami enters as 2.5-point favorites, and for those who deploy the outdated rule of thumb that home-field benefit nets a staff three factors within the unfold, these groups are mainly even.
However given the Payments’ full possession of this collection, mixed with accidents to the Dolphins’ harmful one-two operating again combo of Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane (extra on them beneath), we’re siding with Buffalo till we see Tagovailoa and firm flip that narrative.
The choose: Payments moneyline, +120 (FanDuel)
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Cross comfortable
Mostert has been dominated out of Thursday’s sport with a chest damage, whereas Achane (ankle) is taken into account a game-time choice after working towards Wednesday.
There’s nonetheless velocity throughout the sphere for Miami, particularly with star receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, whose YAC skill supplies the potential for inflating Tagovailoa’s passing totals.
Tagovailoa hasn’t thrown for 300 yards in opposition to Buffalo since that 56-26 loss within the closing week of his rookie season. However no quarterback in Week 1 did higher than Tua’s 338 yards in opposition to Jacksonville, a lot of which got here on the comeback path after the Jaguars moved forward early.
You possibly can simply see an analogous script unfold this week, the place Tagovailoa has to tug his staff again with the passing sport. Of the alternate passing-yard targets we will select from, 275 appears like the correct mix of danger and reward.
The choose: Tua Tagovailoa 275+ passing yards, +110 (DraftKings)
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Rookie has candy debut
Get able to be taught the title Jaylen Wright. The Dolphins drafted the operating again within the fourth spherical out of Tennessee, and he didn’t swimsuit up in Week 1, however he stands to realize probably the most from Mostert and presumably Achane being sidelined.
Phrase out of Dolphins camp is that the staff loves Wright, and he was a horny sleeper choose in lots of a fantasy league. The Dolphins, just like the San Francisco 49ers, can plug seemingly any younger again into their exterior zone scheme and achieve first down after first down—did you watch Jordan Mason for the Niners on Monday?
That is the place purchasing for higher odds pays off. Illustrating the hype round Wright, Fanduel lists him at a mere +140 to attain a landing anytime—fairly quick odds for a child who’s by no means performed an NFL sport earlier than. DraftKings presents a extra respectable quantity for us to seize.
The choose: Jaylen Wright anytime TD scorer, +170 (DraftKings)
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